It is believed by Western intelligence agencies that Kyiv’s administration will fall within that timeframe, precipitating a humanitarian disaster that will affect around 5 million people.
In the analysis’ conclusion, the likelihood of a diplomatic resolution of the problem is becoming increasingly remote
NATO has issued a warning that Russia is assembling nuclear-capable missiles in Belarus, as well as 30,000 troops.
Vladimir Putin has pushed the United States and its partners to scale up NATO deployments in Eastern Europe – proposals that have been categorically rejected by the European Union.
According to US intelligence, Russia would be able to overtake Ukraine in just two days, resulting in a civil war that might kill as many as 50,000 civilians.
Western intelligence assessments also predict that Kyiv’s government would collapse within that timeframe, resulting in a humanitarian disaster involving around 5 million people worldwide.
A diplomatic solution to the problem appears increasingly unlikely, according to the findings of the investigation..
‘Our concern would be that you don’t park combat groups… on the border of another nation twice and do nothing,’ a European diplomat, speaking on the condition of anonymity, told the Washington Post in reference to a previous build-up last year.
‘I believe that is the true source of my anxiety. [Putin’s] latest move is to put them all out there. If he doesn’t do anything else, what does that say to the rest of the international community about Russia’s power?’
In the wake of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, US military and intelligence officials believe Russia is planning a massive nuclear weapons drill in the coming weeks as a message to NATO not to intervene if Putin invades the country, according to the Financial Times.
According to US intelligence, Russia would be able to overtake Ukraine in just two days, resulting in a civil war that might kill as many as 50,000 civilians. (Image above: A picture issued by the Russian Defense Ministry on February 4 shows rocket launchers during joint exercises of the armed forces of Russia and Belarus as part of an inspection of the Union State’s Response Force, which took place at a shooting range in Belarus)
Western intelligence assessments also predict that Kyiv’s government would collapse within that timeframe, resulting in a humanitarian disaster involving around 5 million people worldwide. A military helicopter takes part in joint military exercises between Belarus and Russia on Friday at the Brestsky firing range, as seen in the photo above).
According to the findings of the intelligence study, the likelihood of a diplomatic resolution of the problem is becoming increasingly remote. This photo was issued on Saturday by the Russian Defense Ministry’s Press Service, and it depicts a tank participating in a military practice.
Russia is preparing to conduct a large nuclear weapons drill in the coming weeks, according to US military and intelligence officials, as a deterrent to Nato against intervening in the event that Vladimir Putin invades Ukraine.
According to a Congressional aide, General Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and Avril Haines, director of national intelligence, stated on Thursday that Putin planned to begin the exercises in mid-February. Milley and Haines are both members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
Normally, Russia’s annual nuclear drills are held in the autumn, but the United States believes President Vladimir Putin has decided to do them earlier this year as a show of might.
During this time, NATO has expressed concern that Russia is assembling nuclear-capable missiles in Belarus, as well as 30,000 troops.
According to Jens Stoltenberg, NATO’s general secretary, Russia has already deployed thousands of troops, including Spetsnaz special forces, as well as Iskander missiles that can be tipped with nuclear weapons, fighter jets, and S-400 air defense systems, according to reports published earlier this week.
Putin has reiterated his denials of any plans to attack Ukraine, but he has urged the United States and its allies to offer a legally binding commitment that they will not admit the former Soviet state to NATO or deploy offensive weapons against it. A ground attack aircraft landed at Luninets airstrip in Belarus on Friday, as shown in the photo above.
Putin has reiterated his denials of any plans to attack Ukraine, but he has urged the United States and its allies to offer a legally binding commitment that they will not admit the former Soviet state to NATO or deploy offensive weapons against it.
He also wants them to reverse the alliance’s deployments in Eastern Europe – all of which have been categorically rejected by the United States.
The West has called on Russia to withdraw an estimated 100,000 troops from territories near Ukraine, but the Kremlin has replied by stating that it will post troops wherever it deems necessary on Russian territory in response to the appeal.
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In recent months, Russia has conducted a series of joint drills with Belarus and dispatched its nuclear-capable long-range bombers to patrol the skies over its neighbor, which shares borders with Nato members Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia. In addition, Russia has conducted a series of joint drills with Ukraine.
Authoritarian leader Alexander Lukashenko of Belarus has called for closer defense relations with Moscow amid bruising Western sanctions triggered by his crackdown on domestic protests. He has also offered to host Russian nuclear weapons, which has prompted Russian President Vladimir Putin to express displeasure with the country.
The Ukrainian government launched a series of drills for people in response to growing war concerns, in order to prepare for a possible Russian invasion.